The Joint Office of Homeless Services: A Little Shop of Horrors

If you think Portland and Multnomah County’s homeless crisis is chewing through money, you probably ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

Like the ravenous plant, Aubrey II, in the Little Shop of Horrors, its unbridled appetite for more money and more employees just keeps growing.

The Joint Office of Homeless Services, a collaboration between the city of Portland and Multnomah County, was created in 2016. In FY 2017 the Joint Office received a total allocation of $48.3 million from the city and county.

City funding for JOHS programs included $6.7 million for “Rapid Rehousing” that aims to make homelessness a short-lived experience for recently houseless individuals; $5.8 million on “Supportive Housing” to help individuals gain access to housing and preventative services; and $8.0 million on “Safety Off the Streets” to pay for shelters and services for victims of domestic violence, youth, women and families. The bureau also directed $736,825 to prevent seniors and people with disabilities from becoming homeless, divert at-risk individuals from coming into contact with the criminal justice system, and expand tenant protections. 

While the extent of homelessness was sobering, the mood was hopeful.

“A greater focus on management and results – in addition to sustained funding – will be needed to ensure that the region is making the most of its investment to help Portland’s most in need,” an early performance report said.

“…the department has a clear road map to expanding services that reduce chronic and episodic homelessness, with priority given to strategies that eliminate racial disparities, the Joint Office said in its FY2023 Adopted Budget.

Whatever that “clear roadmap” has been, it has cost a growing pile of money, up almost 550% since 2017, and a blistering July 2023 report from Multnomah County’s auditor alleges that the Joint Office is a mess.

As OPB has put it, “…a peek behind the scenes of the joint office reveals how clunky contract management, poor communication, insufficient data collection, and lack of vision have undermined the program’s effectiveness at solving one of the region’s most entrenched challenges.”

And now another scathing review from Health Management Associates of Oregon (HMA), requested by  Multnomah County Commission Chair Jessica Vega Pederson , noted:

  • a lack of alignment among elected leaders, county leaders, providers and service and housing providers regarding the appropriate components of the homelessness response system
  • a lack of a cohesive, effective governance of the Homelessness Response System
  • Uncoordinated systems provide fragmented care for shared clients, leading to returns to homelessness and poor outcomes
  • a lack of timely communication with stakeholders and sometimes finding out news through the media,
  • a lack of role clarity, decision-making and organizational structure within the JOHS

According to Multnomah County’s Press Office, ” The Joint Office contract with HMA is for two years, from May 2023 to June 2025. The total cost is $140,000. The contract involves the review today alongside work to accomplish the steps laid out in the review.” Why two simultaneous reviews are necessary, one of which cost the Joint Office money, is not clear.

Tracking the Joint Office’s budgets over the years is difficult because online reports from the office have numbers for given years that are all over the map, a sign, perhaps, of its dysfunction.

What is clear is the Joint Office’s FY 2023 Adopted Budget is $262.4 million. The budget increases over the years have been accompanied by a concomitant increase in staffing, from 13 full time equivalent positions in 2016 to 45 in FY 2021 and 96 in FY 2023.

Has the homeless count gone down with the commitment of all this money and personnel?

A 2015 Point-In-Time report said 3,800 individuals were homeless in Multnomah County on any given night.

After eight years of work and millions of dollars spent by the Joint Office of Homeless Services, the number of people considered homeless in the most recent Point-In-Time Count in Multnomah County, conducted Jan. 25-31, 2023?

6,297

A little shop of horrors, indeed.

If You Support Freedom and Ukraine, Remember These People

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy acceded to his party’s lunatic anti-Ukraine caucus and said no to a request by Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, to address a joint session of Congress, or to bring together House members for a meeting with Zelensky during his current visit to Washington. .

Whatever you think of President Biden, he has been steadfast in his support of Ukraine, unlike the Republican party’s leader, former President Trump, who has been an embarrassing Putin acolyte.

“When he was President, Trump rarely missed a chance to excoriate the nation’s allies and praise its adversaries and parroted Russian talking points on Ukraine,” New Yorker staff writer  Susan B. Glasser wrote this week. “After the 2022 invasion, he even went so far as to laud Putin’s strategic “genius.” Just a few days ago, Trump revelled once again in praise from Putin, who has all but endorsed the former President’s campaign to return to the White House in 2024.”

Peace at any price is a fool’s game. As President Theodore Roosevelt put it, “The things that will destroy America are prosperity at any price, peace at any price, safety first instead of duty first…”

Yesterday, 28 Republican members of Congress, led by Senator J.D. Vance (R- Ohio) ignored this when sending a letter to Shalanda Young, Director, Office of Management and Budget. 

The letter asserted, “It would be an absurd abdication of congressional responsibility to grant” the Administration’s request fort additional aid to Ukraine, specifically an August 10, 2023 request for additional supplemental appropriations, in which the Administration asked Congress to provide another $24 billion in security, economic, and humanitarian assistance related to the war in Ukraine. 

The Republicans couched their opposition to additional expenditure for the war in Ukraine as opposition to “…an open-ended commitment to supporting the war in Ukraine of an indeterminate nature, based on a strategy that is unclear, to achieve a goal yet to be articulated to the public or the Congress,” but that’s a ruse. The reality is they want to undermine US support for Ukraine. 

It all reminds me of the America Firsters and their isolationist pressure against American entry into World War II.  “The doctrine that we must enter the wars of Europe in order to defend America will be fatal to our nation if we follow it,” Charles Lindbergh, a leading voice of the America First movement said in 1941.  

Lindbergh was wrong then and the 28 Republicans sending the letter to Shalanda Young are wrong now.

Remember their names:

JD Vance, United States Senator

Rand Paul, M.D. United States Senator

Mike Braun, United States Senator 

Tommy Tuberville United States Senator 

Paul A. Gosar, D.D.S. Member of Congress 

Dan Bishop, Member of Congress 

Bill Posey, Member of Congress 

Chip Roy, Member of Congress 

Mike Lee, United States Senator 

Roger Marshall, M.D. United States Senator 

Roger Williams, Member of Congress 

Clay Higgins, Member of Congress 

Harriet M. Hageman, Member of Congress 

Bob Good, Member of Congress 

Warren Davidson, Member of Congress 

Anna Paulina Luna, Member of Congress 

W. Gregory Steube, Member of Congress 

Josh Brecheen Member of Congress 

Andy Ogles, Member of Congress 

Andy Biggs, Member of Congress 

Russell Fry, Member of Congress 

Eli Crane, Member of Congress 

Jeff Duncan, Member of Congress 

Beth Van Duyne, Member of Congress 

Lance Gooden, Member of Congress 

Mary E. Miller, Member of Congress 

Byron Donalds, Member of Congress 

Michael Cloud, Member of Congress 

EVs Threaten Auto Parts Retailers, Too

With the UAW strike against the Big Three automakers underway, much of the media coverage has focused on how the shift to EVs threatens jobs and profits.

The predominant story line is the automaker’s assertions that accommodating the union’s demands would make them uncompetitive against nonunionized domestic and foreign EV producers, such as Tesla and China’s BYD, when the automakers are making unprecedented and costly investments in EVs. On the other side of the coin, stories focus on the Big Three workers’ fear that the shift to EVs will threaten their jobs.

Lost in the shuffle is much discussion about what the changing automotive landscape is going to mean for ancillary auto-related businesses. And much of what has been written is oddly positive. 

The Wall Street Journal, for example, recently ran a story about AutoZone, a major auto-parts retailer. “Broader industry dynamics remain favorable for auto parts retail,” the paper reported. “Cars on the road have reached a record average age of about 12.5 years and the share of vehicles in the so-called sweet spot with robust auto parts demand – those aged four to 12 years – are rising…Autozone has a clear path to growth…” 

Don’t believe it.

Auto parts retailers are in for a shellacking. 

Just as EV manufacturing will require a lot fewer workers, battery EVs are not going to need many of the products auto parts retailers sell.

I visited a massive AutoZone store in Tigard today. “Your one-stop shop for top-quality auto parts, accessories and trustworthy advice to keep your car, truck, or SUV running smoothly,” the store’s website says.

Memphis, Tennessee-based AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) has 7,014 stores across the United States, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Brazil and the US Virgin Islands.

A casual stroll through the Tigard store reveals the threats it faces, with shelf after shelf of products an EV owner won’t need:

 “In an EV, there is no internal combustion engine, fuel tank, or fuel pumps, “ the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), points out on its website.  “You won’t need to go get an oil change, and due to the use of regenerative braking, you won’t need to get your brakes changed as often either. Many EVs don’t even need or have a transmission. Those that do have a much simpler, single-speed system as opposed to the multi-speed gearboxes in gas-burning vehicles.”

Lawrence Burns, a former vice president of research and development at General Motors Co. until 2009 who now advises companies on the future of mobility, put it this way: “You don’t have an exhaust system, so you don’t have all those parts and the catalytic converter that goes with it. You don’t have the transmission. The transmission has an enormous number of parts — torque converters and clutches and gears. The automatic transmission is one of the most sophisticated mechanisms ever created. None of those are needed on an electric car.”

Tesla says its drivetrain, what provides the power to move the wheels, only has about 17 moving parts, compared to the hundreds of parts in a typical drivetrain for an internal combustion engine vehicle.

Ernst & Young has estimated that vehicles with conventional powertrains have as many as 2,000 components in their powertrains, with even more components if parts used for engine cooling and exhaust and sensors used in emissions control systems are added. 

Green Car Future, an EV evangelist organization, emphasizes the difference in complexity between an EV and an internal combustion with the following:

Your Tesla – Complete Without…

  • Oil pump or filters
  • Fuel pump, filters or fuel injection systems
  • Air intake system
  • Exhaust system
  • Belts of any kind
  • Air filters (outside of a/c)
  • Muffler
  • Gudgeon pins
  • Chains
  • Alternator
  • Clutch
  • Multi-speed transmission
  • Conrods
  • Balance shafts
  • Spark plugs
  • Valve springs
  • Pressure regulators
  • Ignition leads
  • Main bearings
  • Piston rings
  • Coils
  • …and so the list goes on.

As Consumer Reports and the Argonne National Laboratory, a science and engineering research center, have reported, the reduction in complexity means EVs generally cost less for maintenance and have fewer maintenance requirements in comparison with internal combustion vehicles. 

With all this, my advice to investors contemplating putting their money into auto parts retailers like AutoZone for the long term?

Don’t.

Rep. Earl Blumenauer Leads the Way for Music Day

Now Everybody Sing!

Congress may not be able to pass a budget, but it has time for silly resolutions.

Oregon’s man in Washington, Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR) ,joined with three other House members last week to introduce a resolution (H.R.689)  marking October 25, 2023, as Public Radio Music Day.  Apparently, Rep. Blumenauer wasn’t able to gin up much interest from his Oregon House colleagues. Nine other members signed on as original cosponsors, but none were from Oregon. 

“Public radio showcases the unique sounds and styles of our communities, reflective of the incredible diversity of our nation,” said Rep. Blumenauer. “It is only fitting to celebrate these contributions with an official designation of Public Radio Music Day.”

“Public radio has helped define generations. Since its inception, NPR has been a cornerstone of our country,” said Rep. Jake Ellzey, (R-TX). “It has grown alongside the United States, striving to keep the public informed and entertained. After all it’s done for us, I am proud to join my colleagues in designating October 25th as Public Radio Music Day.”

So, get out your oboe, guitar, piano or kazoo. It’s time to party.

A Fond Adieu to Cycle Oregon

“Just because I slept with you last night doesn’t mean I want to ride with you today.”

That was the sign I saw pinned to the back of a woman’s jersey as 2000 riders headed out one morning on a 1980s Cycle Oregon. I still chuckle at that cheeky message, remembering it as part of the raucous, thrilling, inspiring, joyous and demanding endeavor that was Cycle Oregon. 

The adventure began with a 343-mile ride by 1,008 cyclists from Salem through Corvallis, Eugene, Florence, Coos Bay, and Gold Beach to Brookings in September 1988. 

Tomorrow, Sept. 16, will be a sad day because that is when the epic festival will end, 35 years later, with 2023’s 454-mile ride from Albany, through Oregon’s wine country to the coast and back.

According to historians of the event, Ashland innkeeper Jim Beaver came up with the idea of a weeklong ride that would bring people out to rural Oregon. Hoping to drum up interest, he wrote to potential supporters in Oregon. One of those letters went to Jonathan Nicholas, a respected and widely-read columnist for The Oregonian. Nicholas jumped on the idea and with the help of other cycling enthusiasts, got it rolling. Over time he became known as the soul of Cycle Oregon. 

According to The Oregonian, rising costs and lack of interest from riders, vendors and volunteers contributed to the ride’s demise. “There’s just a lot of different opportunities for people to bike nowadays so we’re seeing people not always interested in riding on the road, not always interested in riding 70 to 100 miles at a time,” said said Director Steve Schulz.

My introduction to Cycle Oregon came in early 1989 when I was a reporter at The Oregonian. I was talking about the recently inaugurated ride with my son, Evan, a strong, dedicated cyclist, when he said to me with a smirk, “Hey old man, I bet you couldn’t do it.”

That was all it took. Challenge accepted.

I’d been cycling since I was a child back in the 1940s and ‘50s. That was when kids in a small New England factory town could head out with their friends in the morning, bike all over the town and countryside and return just before dinner without a worry. I still remember one point in elementary school when my dad gave me a black 3-speed English bike for my birthday and I was the king of the hill for a little while. I kept riding as a grew older, but mostly 10-20 mile trips. I was no Tour de France candidate or even, at the age of 45 in early 1989, into touring. 

My son and I signed up for Cycle Oregon II, scheduled for Sept. 10-16, 1989. The 437-mile route would take us from Portland to Rippling River, Kah-Nee-Ta, Bend, Sunriver, Crescent, Fort Klamath and end in Ashland.

About 2000 cyclists on Cycle Oregon II set off at the start from Portland to Rippling River in Welches in the lush coniferous forests of the Western Cascades.

This was no “bowling Alone” crowd. It was a ragtag group of cycling enthusiasts determined to have fun. But wouldn’t you know it; as we stood outside in the long dinner line on the first night, all ravenously hungry, they ran out of food. What a beginning! A group of us had to hike out to a restaurant along the highway where, despite the change of venue, a good time was had by all.

The second day took us to the Kah-Nee-Ta Resort & Spa in central Oregon on the Warm Springs Indian Reservation, the third day to Bend and the fourth to Sunriver Resort, giving us a chance to ride up to the Mt. Bachelor ski resort and then come screaming back down the mountain road. Day 5 hit us with numbing cold weather as we rode through lava flows, high cascade lakes and pine forests to Crescent.  Then came roads through dense lodgepole pine forests, a spectacular ride up past Crater Lake and, on the last day, a jubilant ride into Ashland. 

There, Evan, I did it, all 437 miles.

And I still have my t-shirt.

I did 6 more Cycle Oregons in the coming years, all joyful journeys filled with sweat, camaraderie, aching muscles, massive campgrounds, truck showers, nighttime music, wonderful solitude, starlit skies, breathtaking scenery and warm, welcoming people. 

As a reporter at The Oregonian, I pitched in to help write The Cycle Oregonian, a daily paper about the ride distributed to every cyclist each morning. 

I still have vivid memories of the morning on Sept. 11, 2001.

I was walking back to my tent from breakfast and encountered a group of riders listening intently to a radio broadcast. It was describing an attack on the World Trade Center in New York. We were all simply stunned. That night five of us rode to a nearby town to find a television at a bar where we saw the horrible aftermath. The next morning 2000 copies of The Oregonian showed up at camp with the full story, which we pored over at breakfast, while all away from our families. On that day’s ride I wished I had an American flag to fly on my bike.

Then there Twas the day we all woke up in Willamina with ice on our tents and sat outside on logs to eat stone-cold scrambled eggs and toast.

There was the punishingly hot hill-climbing day when I didn’t get to the lunch stop until 5PM. They had to send a school bus out from that night’s campsite to bring in me and a couple hundred other riders who would never have made it to the campsite before dark. 

There was the warm, clear day we all started over some mountains in our t-shirts and later found ourselves shivering as we rode through a snowstorm. At one stop I saw a woman rider take her lunch into a cramped blue portapotty so she could eat sheltered from the wind and cold.

There was a glorious ride through the beautiful Wallowas, a ride on Wallowa Lake Tramway, an overnight in Joseph and a chance to cycle the Hells Canyon Scenic Byway. 

A couple years there was a group of male riders accompanied by a monstrous luxury RV carrying a masseuse who welcomed them each afternoon with a massage.

As of tomorrow, Cycle Oregon’s classic weeklong extravaganza, a true travelling circus, is no more.

Je suis si triste. I’ll miss you.

Hiring Ex-Cons to Patrol the Streets. Is That Really The Answer for Portland’s Troubles?

Portland’s flailing Mayor, Ted Wheeler, has a new idea, bring in ex-cons who have served decades in prison after being convicted of serious crimes, which can include murder, to patrol the city’s troubled streets.,

He wants to contract with a San Francisco-based nonprofit, Urban Alchemy (UA) that hires formerly incarcerated convicts to patrol troubled areas to address street-level issues rooted in addiction, mental illness and homelessness. The plan is for Urban Alchemy to deploy outreach patrols in the city center where Portland police have struggled to maintain patrols.

“We want to make sure that that presence, the things we need in place to keep downtown Portland on the path to recovery, is there 24/7,” said Jon Isaacs, the Portland Metro Chamber’s assistant director for public affairs.

In April, UA was awarded a five-year contract for up to $50 million to operate temporary, congregate shelter sites in Portland.

The new patrol idea is reminiscent of Curtis Sliwa’s Guardian Angles, formed in the 1970s to patrol New York’s subways and streets combat crime and violence in the city. The group, unarmed, but trained in karate and prepared to make citizens’ arrests , drew strong public reactions, positive and negative. 

The New Yorker described the group as “… a civilian crime-watch group whose recruits became street icons for patrolling scuzzy subway cars, intimidating chain snatchers, making the occasional citizen’s arrest, and irritating the police.”

What are the chances Urban Alchemy will be another ill-advised fiasco for Portland? 

According to a story in The Nation, UA “practitioners” or “ambassadors” guard corners and patrol Market Street, in San Francisco respond to emergency calls relating to homelessness, and monitor tent encampments and shelters. Some wear sunglasses and balaclavas with their uniform: a camouflage jacket emblazoned on the back with the group’s all-seeing-eye logo.

In February,  San Francisco selected Urban Alchemy to operate a Community Response Team, a one-year, $2.75 million police alternative that would handle low-level calls about homelessness that come in via 911.

“We should be excited,” Lena Miller, who has a PhD in psychology and co-founded UA in 2018, told The Nation. “You got long-term offenders who’ve done 30, 40 years in prison. They’re the alternatives to the police. And furthermore, the police and the police unions are with it.”

But not everybody is on board.

As Mara Math of San Francisco puts it,  “Urban Alchemy is not beloved here in San Francisco.”

Some criticize UA for policing public space, providing not compassionate care, but alternative policing. “It sounds good on paper,” Couper Orona, a street medic, told The Nation. “It’s a security force that can bully people into doing what they want—but it’s OK because it’s not the police.” Or as Street Sheet, a San Francisco street newspaper, put it, Urban Alchemy “…is structured to manage public space, not to address homelessness.”

Earlier this year the San Francisco Chronicle reported that Urban Alchemy faced multiple lawsuits over sexual harassment, unpaid overtime and forcing people to move without cause. Two employees were  shot in 2022l in the city’s Tenderloin district, raising concerns about placing them in dangerous scenarios without adequate training. 

Street Roots, a weekly alternative newspaper that covers homeless issues, has reported on a lawsuit which alleges UA “has deployed hundreds of inadequately-trained, reformed long-term felons in public spaces to assume certain government functions traditionally performed by professionally-trained law enforcement personnel.”

CityWatch, a news and information website and newsletter, has described UA as “…an agency with questionable claims to success and an unproven business strategy. The reasons for hiring such a controversial organization run the gamut of possibilities, from being too lazy to check prior performance, to desperation to hire anyone as a sign of taking bold action…”

Based on past experience, that’s Portland’s credo. Do something, anything, to make it appear like the city is taking bold action.

Is Portland Allergic to Common sense?

Sometimes it seems like we’ve taken leave of our senses.

Narcan, the Opioid overdose-reversal drug, arrived at many Portland area stores this week, no prescription necessary.

One thing that caught my attention in media coverage of Narcan’s expanded availability was the observation that there are concerns about Narcan’s affordability for addicts.  It would seem to me that if an addict can afford Opioids, surely he can afford Narcan. But that, of course, leads to another question. If an addict buys Narcan, would he administer it to himself in case of an overdose?  Not likely, I’d think.

All this makes about as much sense as Multnomah County’s decision in July to distribute tinfoil, straws, glass pipes and “snorting kits” to addicts around Portland.

Fortunately, the county backtracked and suspended the initiative three days after Willamette Week disclosed the poorly thought-out plan. 

“Our health department went forward with this proposal without proper implementation protocols,” said County Chair Jessica Vega Pederson. “And in that light, I am suspending the program pending further analysis.”

Meanwhile, the City of Portland has left in place, and is expanding, its “safe rest villages”.

The seven Safe Rest Villages scattered around the city offer a host of services, including laundry, showers, flush toilets garbage recycling, first aid and medical care. 

But is ”rest” really what all the homeless moving into these villages need? Drive, walk or cycle around Portland day or night and you’ll encounter camps filled with people who are “resting” and when they aren’t resting too many are looking for or using drugs, breaking into cars, and stealing stuff, all sorts of stuff. 

Portland Police recently recovered a steel drum, a saxophone, tattoo equipment, more than $10,000 worth of LED lighting and even a stolen litter of 3-week-old puppies from a homeless camp. In another police action in the Big Four Corners Natural Area, cleanup crews pulled out more than 150 stolen cars, tons of trash, and even some live pigs.

The problem is that while millions of dollars are being spent on these villages, residents can access all their services with no quid pro quo, in other words, without doing anything in return.  A resident can literally do nothing all day and night but stew in his or her despair. What the villages don’t offer or require is meaningful work. 

Wouldn’t it make more sense to organize teams of Village Rest residents to get out and paint over the graffiti that’s defacing surfaces all over the city.? Or pick up the proliferating trash and needles?  Or clean up abandoned waterside campsites? 

Then there’s the suggestion that adults in Oregon request a prescription for Narcan on their next visit to a pharmacy or primary care doctor, so they can rescue people who have overdosed.

The Oregonian recently ran a story about an addiction medicine nurse and a mother of two young adults who keeps a dose of Narcan in the glove compartment of her car, another in her backpack and a third dose on top of her dresser at home.

“My kids know how to use it and they know where it is,” she said. “Honestly, if you live in Portland, Oregon, you don’t know when you might be someone who comes across someone who is overdosing.”

I can see wanting to protect your children or friends, but, honestly, how realistic is it to expect an army of do-gooders carrying Narcan in their pockets and purses to intervene when they encounter a random person splayed out on a Portland sidewalk or in a tarp-covered tent? Is this really  the answer to the plague of Opioids? Frankly, I even hesitate to tell somebody their smoking is bothering me.

And are well-meaning Oregonians prepared for the reactions of those administered Naloxone? Emergency workers say the reactions of overdose victims are frequently hostile.

A manuscript published by the National Library of Medicine reviewing research on Opioid overdose reversals using naloxone in New York City noted that the most reported reversal outcome included a wide range of angry, hostile and/or aggressive outbursts by the overdosed person following their return to consciousness.

One study presented sociological work that focused on violence arising from naloxone administration. The authors remarked that such aggression ‘”…tends to receive a passing mention rather than close attention by social scientists.”

And now comes word that Portland’s flailing Mayor, Ted Wheeler, wants to bring in a San Francisco-based nonprofit, Urban Alchemy, that hires formerly incarcerated convicts to patrol troubled areas to address street-level issues rooted in addiction, mental illness and homelessness. The plan is for Urban Alchemy to deploy outreach patrols in the city center where Portland police has struggled to maintain patrols.

“We want to make sure that that presence, the things we need in place to keep downtown Portland on the path to recovery, is there 24/7,” said Jon Isaacs, the Portland Metro Chamber’s assistant director for public affairs.

It’s reminiscent of Curtis Sliwa’s Guardian Angles, formed in the 1970s to patrol New York’s subways and streets combat crime and violence in the city. The group, unarmed, but trained in karate and prepared to make citizens’ arrests , drew strong public reactions, positive and negative. ” The New Yorker described the group as “… a civilian crime-watch group whose recruits became street icons for patrolling scuzzy subway cars, intimidating chain snatchers, making the occasional citizen’s arrest, and irritating the police.”

What are the chances Urban Alchemy will be another ill-advised fiasco for Portland?

It’s a weird world out there.

The Scourge of Absenteeism: Oregon Kids of Color Are Cutting Too Many Classes

Our children are not alright.

In the 2015-16 school year, alarms went off when one in six K-12 children were chronically absent at Oregon’s public schools.. 

The legislature was so concerned it enacted a bill which directing the Oregon Department of Education and the Chief Education Office to jointly develop a statewide education plan to address the problem. 

So much for that. 

In the 2021-2022 school year, the most recent year for which data is available, 36.1% of Oregon’s K-12 students were chronically absent from school, absent for  more than 10% of the academic year. Only Hawaii at 37%, Michigan at 38.5% and the District of Columbia at 48.1%, had higher rates of chronic absenteeism.

Children who are chronically absent in their early years of schooling are likelier than their peers to struggle to read at grade level by the end of second grade and students still struggling at the end of third grade are four times more likely to drop out of high school, according to research supported by the Annie E. Casey Foundation and the Center for Demographic Analysis, University at Albany, State University of New York.

For the worst readers, those who could not master even the basic skills by third grade, the rate is nearly six times greater. 

By the ninth grade, every week a student misses reduces that student’s chance of graduating by about 20 percentage points.

“The fact that absenteeism has gone up is the biggest issue right now and has been overlooked,” says the Lewis-Sebring Director of the UChicago Consortium on School Research, Elaine Allensworth. “People keep focusing on the test scores, but our research shows over and over again that student attendance is an incredibly strong predictor of pretty much every outcome you care about: High school graduation, college ready, college enrollment, college graduation. It’s vital that students actually come to school every day.”

Oregon media have reported on rising absenteeism, but the general take has been that it is a system-wide problem.  What they’ve mostly missed is the high rates of absenteeism among kids of color.

An exhaustive review of Oregon Department of Education data on absenteeism at Oregon school districts in the 2021-2022 school year reveals substantial differences in rates of absenteeism between white students and students of color.

“The long-term consequences of disengaging from school  are devastating,” says Hedy Chang, executive director of Attendance Works, a nonprofit addressing chronic absenteeism. For children of color, the consequences can be particularly severe.

In other words, for all the money Oregon is pouring into its schools to improve the academic performance of kids of color, it’s not going to make any damn difference if kids of color don’t show up.

School DistrictCategory% Chronically Absent
Corvallis School District 509J         White33.5
Hispanic/Latino43.5
West Linn-Wilsonville SD 3J               White27.9
Black/African American32.9
Hispanic/Latino43.9
American Indian/Alaska Native76.2
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander45.2
North Clackamas SD 12                         White28.5
Black/African American33.2
Hispanic/Latino41.1
American Indian/Alaska Native40.5
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander50.8
Gladstone SD 115                                        White32
Black/African American 46.7
Hispanic/Latino52.3
Astoria SD1                                                     White35.1
Hispanic/Latino43.1
American Indian/Alaska Native58.3
Bend-LaPine SD1                                               White39.6
Black/African American40
Hispanic/Latino54.5
American Indian/Alaska Native49.3
Redmond SD 2J                                                         White37.8
Hispanic/Latino43.4
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander47.8
American Indian/Alaska Native57.4
Douglas County SD4                                                   White44.4
Hispanic/Latino50.4
American Indian/Alaska Native62.9
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander54.5
Springfield SD19White41.9
Black/African American52.3
Hispanic/Latino47.9
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander72.3
Salem-Keizer SD 24JWhite39.7
Black/African American41.9
Hispanic/Latino53.7
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander63.7
Portland SD 1JWhite27.1
Black/African American55
Hispanic/Latino47.1
American Indian/Alaska Native68.8
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander63.1