US Action in Venezuela: Menacing and Unpredictable

The largest U.S. military presence in the Caribbean in decades is now operating, with nearly 20% of the Navy’s deployed warships in the region, according to a Stars and Stripes’ analysis. The deployment also includes the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit based in Camp Lejeune and Marine Corps Air Base New River. The 22nd MEU consists of Marine Medium Tiltrotor Squadron 263 (Reinforced), Combat Logistics Battalion 26 and the Battalion Landing Team, 3rd Battalion, 6th Marine Regiment.

Additionally, a squadron of Marine Corps F-35 Lightning II fighter aircraft has been sent to Puerto Rico, where the former Naval Station Roosevelt Roads has become a staging area for U.S. forces in the region, according to Task & Purpose, a military-focused news publication.

Other American aircraft, including an AC-130J Ghostrider, an Air Force gunship designed for close air support, air interdiction and armed reconnaissance, have been spotted operating in El Salvador. The aircraft, known for being the most heavily armed gunship in history, “plays a critical role in supporting ground operations, providing close air support to troops in contact, conducting armed reconnaissance missions, and engaging enemy targets” according to The Aviationist.

An AC-130J Ghostrider being refueled

The New York Times has reported that U.S. officials ran a war game during President Trump’s first term to assess what the Venezuelan strongman Nicolas Maduro’s fall might unleash. “The results showed that chaos and violence were likely to erupt within Venezuela, as military units, rival political factions and even jungle-based guerrilla groups jockeyed for control of the oil-rich country.”

Nevertheless, asked if he would rule out U.S. troops on the ground in Venezuela, Trump said on Monday “No, I don’t rule out that, I don’t rule out anything.”

And then, of course, no matter what happens, will it matter? Mary Speck, former executive director of the Western Hemisphere Drug Policy Commission, wrote today in the Dispatch, “The United States—for all its military might—cannot defeat “narco-terrorism” unilaterally by ousting a corrupt and brutal dictator. Whatever the end game of the U.S. military deployment in the Caribbean, the region’s drug cartels have nothing to fear.”.

What is the balance of risk? ,” opinion columnist Bret Stephens wrote in November 19s New York Times. “Unintended consequences must be weighed against the predictable risks of inaction…And Trump’s hesitation will be read, especially in Moscow and Beijing, as a telling signal of weakness that can only embolden them, just as President Biden’s withdrawal from Afghanistan did.”

“Any morally serious person should want this to end,” Stephens opined. “The serious question is whether American intervention would make things even worse.”

As Puck observed on Nov. 20, “Trump’s plan for Venezuela may be a mystery even to himself. “I think he thinks about what will make him look tough, but he doesn’t think much beyond that,” said John Bolton. “He never does.”

What does the Trump administration want to achieve in this dramatic effort and what will be the cost? America waits.

U.S. Forces Now in the Caribbean

Up to 15,000 U.S. troops are in the area.
USS Newport News SSN-750
Four F/A-18E/F Super Hornets, assigned to Strike Fighter Squadrons 31, 37, 87, and 213 from embarked Carrier Air Wing Eight aboard USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78), and a U.S. Air Force B-52 Stratofortress operate as a joint force with the Gerald R. Ford, Nov. 13, 2025. US Navy photo
  • The “Tomcatters” of Strike Fighter Squadron (VFA) 31 – F/A-18E – from Naval Air Station Oceana, Va.
  • The “Ragin Bulls” of VFA 37 – F/A-18E – from Naval Air Station Oceana.
  • The “Golden Warriors” of VFA 87 – F/A-18E – from Naval Air Station Oceana.
  • The “Black Lions” of VFA 213 – F/A-18F – from Naval Air Station Oceana.
  • The “Gray Wolves” of Electronic Attack Squadron (VAQ) 142 – EA-18G – from Naval Air Station Whidbey Island, Wash.
  • The “Bear Aces” of Airborne Command and Control Squadron (VAW) 124 – E-2D – from Naval Air Station Norfolk, Va.
  • The “Rawhides” of Fleet Logistics Squadron (VRC) 40 Det. – C-2A – from Naval Air Station Norfolk.
  • The “Spartans” of Helicopter Maritime Strike Squadron (HSM) 70 – MH-60R – from Naval Air Station Jacksonville, Fla.
  • The “Tridents” of Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron (HSC) 9 – MH-60S – from Naval Air Station Norfolk.

Carrier Air Wing 8


USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) with 9 embarked squadrons of Carrier Air Wing Eight
Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Bainbridge (DDG 96)
Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Mahan (DDG 72)
Air and missile defense command ship USS Winston S. Churchill (DDG 81)

Littoral combat ship USS Wichita (LCS-13)

Guided missile cruiser USS Lake Erie (CG – 70)

Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Iwo Jima (LHD-7)

Amphibious transport dock ship USS Fort Lauderdale (LPD-28)

Amphibious transport dock ship USS San Antonio (LPD-17)

Guided missile destroyer USS Gravely (DDG-107)

Guided missile destroyer USS Stockdale (DDG-106)

“Militarily, the table is set quite effectively for air strikes,” retired Navy Adm. James Stavridis, who led U.S. Southern Command, or SOUTHCOM, from 2006 to 2009, recently told Task & Purpose. “Now it’s up to [President Trump] to decide.”

Richard Grenell:Guilty As Charged

Richard Grenell (L) and his patron, President Trump, Feb. 2025

New York Times investigation has found that Richard Grenell, one of hundreds of Trump acolytes rooting around in the moral rot of his regime, played a role in securing the release of Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan, who had been detained in Romania, accused of rape, human trafficking and organized crime.  The Trump Administration and Grenell have previously denied involvement in the sordid affair. 

Asked if the United States had pressed Romania to release the Tate brothers, Trump previously said “I know nothing about that “and that the White House would “check it out”. The brothers got their passports back and on February 27, 2025  flew in a private jet to Fort Lauderdale, Florida. 

The New York Times disclosed today its investigation into the Tate affair had found that in a Jan. 14 text message, Andrew Tate indicated that help was on the way. “I had word from The Trump admin that theyre on top of things,” Mr. Tate wrote to someone close to him, in a message reviewed by The New York Times. “Ive been told I’ll be free soon but Trump needs to see me in Miami,” he added.

The Times found that “the brothers’ release from Romania was the culmination of a yearslong effort by Andrew to forge alliances with Mr. Trump’s advisers and family members,” including Grenell.

“After Mr. Trump’s re-election, some of the Tates’ supporters ascended into the new administration,” the Times reported on Dec. 10. ” One of them, the diplomatic envoy Richard Grenell, twice discussed their case with Romanian officials, The Times found. “

Grenell is well-known now mostly because of his appointment by Trump to be Executive Director of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, D.C. According to The New Yorker , KennedyCenter staff and others often refer to Grenell as Grendel, a “powerful demon, a prowler through the dark” in Beowulf.

Despite Grenell calling Trump “unserious”, “reckless”, and “dangerous” in 2016, he switched to openly praising Trump after he became the Republican Party’s nominee and Trump appointed him Ambassador to Germany in his first term. The Germans were less than pleased. “By challenging accepted convention and diplomatic protocol — that is, by acting very Trump-like — Grenell has sent Germany’s hidebound political class into a fit of apoplexy,” Politico reported. 

Grenell returned to the US in 2020 when Trump selected him to temporarily replace the acting director of national intelligence (DNI). Occupying the post for just about three months, he used this tour to work with Kash Patel (now Trump’s appointee as FBI Director) to purge top officials and gain a reputation as a deeply political animal. Grenell, who feuded publicly with Congress, was “criticized by Democrats and career intelligence officials as the least-experienced and most overtly political official to serve as the DNI,” CNN reported. 

On Election Day in 2020, Trump told Grenell to fly to Nevada, where he situated himself in a suite at the Venetian Resort and established a war room to question the results of the election in the state, according to the New York Times.  Trump’s team filed a lawsuit and aired false accusations of voting fraud. Trump supplemented the accusations with a tweetthat the state was a “cesspool of Fake Votes,”

The Times reported Grenell told the Venetian team the whole effort was a sham, that the Nevada vote was not stolen and that “… the goal was simply to ‘throw spaghetti at the wall’ to distract the media from calling Nevada while the election to distract the media from calling Nevada while the election battle in neighboring Arizona played out.”

After Trump left office, Grenell worked on behalf of himself and Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, who was looking to develop multiple hotel and tourism projects. According to the New York Times, he worked with Kushner on plans for a luxury hotel, apartment complex and museum in Serbia and development of  luxury tourist sites on an Albanian peninsula and on a Mediterranean island off the Albanian coast.

The New Republic reported in June 2024 that Kushner’s contract with the Serbian government to bulldoze the bombed-out ruins of the Yugoslav Ministry of Defense complex and convert it into a luxury hotel included a fine-print commitment by Kushner’s firm, Affinity Partners, to build a “memorial dedicated to all the victims of NATO aggression” — an allusion to the U.S.-backed bombing campaign in 1999 that brought the Serbian government of Slobodan Milosevic to its knees in response to its campaign of repression and massacres of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo.

Retired General Wesley Clark, who served as NATO Supreme Allied Commander during the 1999 bombing campaign, told SpyTalk, a Substack site that covers national security issues, the commitment was “a betrayal of the United States, its policies and the brave diplomats and airmen who did what they could to stop Serb ethnic cleansing.”

Grenell also further ingratiated himself with Donald Trump by securing Melania two lucrative speeches in California over two consecutive days in 2022. The California Globe, a right-leaning news website, ran a story about her speeches. The story highlighted her “focus on the welfare of the Nation’s children” and gave her a chance to say readers “…should visit the two marketplaces I built, USAmemorabilia.com and MelaniaTrump.com”. 

The Globe article neglected to mention that Melania was paid $500,000 in fees for the speeches.

The New York Times reported that the payments were $250,000 from Log Cabin Republicans, a Republican organization dedicated to representing LGBT conservatives and allies (Grenell is gay) and a $250,000 payment from Fix California, a conservative 501(c)(4)non-profit founded by Grenell in 2021 to support “free and fair elections”. 

Fix California’s IRS Form 990 filing with the IRS for 2022 shows Melania Trump’s speaking fee, paid through Designers Management Agency Inc. of New York, consumed about 17% of the group’s total revenue in 2022. The Log Cabin Republicans Form 990 shows Melania’s fee consumed about 20% of that group’s revenue in 2022.

When Trump was elected to his second term, Grenell lobbied hard to be named Secretary of State. Politico reported that an associate of Grenell’s even offered payments to some MAGA influencers to promote Grenell’s campaign for the position (Grenell told Politico that “none of this is true.”), but he lost out to Marco Rubio. 

Instead, Trump gave Grenell a more amorphous position, naming him his “envoy for special missions”, a catch-all for a jack-of-all-trades. That did not require Senate confirmation.

Since then, Grenell has popped up all over the place like a fungus. 

On January 31, he surfaced in Venezuela to negotiate with its president Nicolás Maduro for the return of Venezuelan migrants in the US illegally and to secure the release of Americans detained in the country. He returned with six Americans who had been detained in Venezuela in recent months.

On Feb. 8, Grenell surfaced again with a tweet calling for an end to government funding of Radio Free Europe and Voice of America.  “It is state-owned media,” he posted. “These outlets are filled with far left activists. I’ve worked with these reporters for decades. It’s a relic of the past. We don’t need government paid media outlets.”  Elon Musk agreed, posting, “It’s just radical left crazy people talking to themselves while torching $1B/year of US taxpayer money.”

On Feb. 10, Trump purged the board of the prominent John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, D.C., replaced them with Trump loyalists, who voted to install Trump as Chairman and then announced that Grenell would be the new interim executive director.

Then on December 18, Grenell voted with other members of the Kennedy Center’s board to rename it the Trump-Kennedy Center. The New York Times reported, ” Even though Mr. Trump had already been calling it that for months in trollish posts online, he acted shocked that his handpicked board had thought to do this for him. “I was honored by it,” he told reporters at the White House. “The board is a very distinguished board, most distinguished people in the country, and I was surprised by it. I was honored by it.”

The New York Times investigation has now reminded Grenell that he can’t hide forever.

Hang on for the ride.